| Global Warming – Global Cooling Natural Cause Found Controls Climate Cycles |
David A. Dilley Researcher and CEO, Global Weather Oscillations, Inc. Ocala, Florida USA |
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Chapter One |
Scientists have made major climate research advances over the past 100-years by observing the ocean and atmosphere, especially over the past 15-years with the aid of computer modeling. Even so, researchers believe reliable climate forecasts still have a long way to go. For instance, Morss and Battisti (2004) indicate that major hindrances still block the way to forecast improvement. These hindrances include observational errors in the initial conditions used by computer forecast models to initiate forecasts, errors within the models, and the chaotic characteristics of the coupled ocean and atmosphere. Computer models are only as good as the input data and information, so since the model is imperfect, so too is the forecast. Recent grant funding for climate change research has mainly been directed toward the possibility that human influence, specifically the burning of fossil fuels, is the primary cause for global warming during the past 100-years. Because of this, research has been focused on fossil fuel emission topics. Not surprisingly, it has become widely accepted that the increase in industrial emissions of carbon dioxide during the past 150 years is responsible for the earth’s global warming since about the year 1900. Could carbon dioxide, a minor greenhouse gas 100 times less prevalent in the atmosphere than the major greenhouse gas water vapor, really cause global warming? Have there been similar global warming episodes throughout history? Did a similar rise in greenhouse gases occur without human influence? To get a complete picture of global warming, we must examine earth’s climate history and understand the climate changes that have occurred within the last half million years or more. Scientists known as Paleoclimatologists reconstruct the earth’s past climate changes by examining the extent of tree ring growth from one year to the next, thus determining colder weather versus warmer weather, or dry climatic periods versus wetter period. They also extract and examine ice core samples of glaciers containing trapped atmospheric air bubbles. These air bubbles contain a historical documentation of the earth’s atmospheric gases over time. And in addition, Paleoclimatologists examine lake bed sediment to determine an historical map of plant pollen and other environmental by-products that have been deposited over thousands of years. |
This e-book details how the Primary Forcing Mechanism (PFM) controls these naturally occurring warming and cooling cycles. This e-book also demonstrates a greater than 90 percent correlation between the PFM cycles, natural global warming cycles, natural global cooling cycles, and the natural rise and fall in carbon dioxide cycles. Further, this e-book demonstrates the culmination of 7 different global warming cycles are responsible for the current warmest cycle in 450,000 years. The upcoming chapters of this e-book provide a step-by-step understanding of the natural global warming and cooling cycles, natural carbon dioxide cycles, and the natural forcing mechanism that triggers and controls the 7 different types of global warming and cooling cycles. Chapter 2 discusses prior research regarding temperature cycles and other atmospheric and oceanic cycles caused by variations within the moon’s orbit. Section 3 discusses how temperatures and carbon dioxide readings are derived for mapping earth’s historical climate cycles. Chapter 4 provides a brief discussion on causes for global temperature cycles. Chapter 5 discusses the deficiencies in the hypothesis that support carbon dioxide as the major driving force of global warming. Chapter 6 overviews the Primary Forcing Mechanism “PFM” responsible for natural global warming and global cooling cycles. Chapter 7 uses this knowledge to explain and demonstrate the PFM as Related to Global Warming and Cooling Cycles. These 2 chapters abound with details, graphs, and tables that have not been previously published. Chapters 8 and 9 discuss findings and summarizes the research presented. Chapter 10 provides a detailed Global Warming and Cooling Forecast discussion for the year 2008 and beyond--including restoration and/or deterioration of the ice sheets, and rises and falls in the natural carbon dioxide cycle. |
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