Foreword

Abstract

Contents

One

Two

Three

Four

Five

Six

Seven

Eight

Nine

Ten

Eleven

Twelve


Global Warming – Global Cooling
Natural Cause Found
Controls Climate Cycles
David A. Dilley
Researcher and CEO, Global Weather Oscillations, Inc.
Ocala, Florida USA

Chapter Eight
Findings and Summary

    It was also noted that each PFM Master Cycle is made up of 2 large PFM sub-cycles and 3 smaller sub-cycles sandwiched between them, with the 2 larger cycles forming a goalpost effect. It was also demonstrated that the warmest temperatures occur on the 2 larger cycles and the coolest periods around the middle of the smaller cycles.

    As shown in Figures 17 through 27, the warmest global warming episodes indeed occurred on the left goalpost centered around 1100, and right goalpost near 2000 . It was also shown that the PFM cycles ranging from the 18.5 year Master Cycle and its 4.63-year sub-cycles, have extremely similar harmonics to longer period cycles such as, the 925-year PFM Master Cycle and 231-year sub cycles, all the way out to the approximate 460,000-year Master PFM cycle and 116,000 sub-cycles.

    It was demonstrated that the warmest portion of each 231-year global warming cycle occurs on twin 9-year peaks which are separated by an approximate 72-year Master PFM cycle (18.5 x 4 = approximate 72 year master cycle). These approximate 9-year temperature peaks (correspond to either the apogee or perigee cycles of the moon that occur every 9-years) occur during the first half of each 18.5 year sub cycle of this 72 year Master Cycles (18.5 divided by 2 = 9 years, or sub cycle 4.63 x 2 = 9-years), thus forming warm goalposts with 3 cooler 18.5 year cycles between. This same scenario was also demonstrated in the 231-year cycles, 925-year cycles as noted in the twin temperature peaks observed in the 1930s and from 2000 to 2008, and in the twin temperature peaks of all 5 global warming cycles during the past 1000-years.

    Looking at the approximate 460,000-year PFM and temperature cycle, it is interesting to determine if the left goalpost approximately 425,000 to 460,000 years ago is as warm as the current right goalpost shown on the right side of Figure 28. Figures 3, 4 and 28 provide insights to determine whether it is true. It is interesting to note that drilling at Lake Vostok has reached a depth 3,623 meters, with the age of the ice at this depth being approximately 425,000 years old. It is also interesting to note that this is nearly at the bottom of the ice pack, which likely means Lake Vostok was nearly void of ice 425,000 to 460,000 year ago.

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    The study of the 4 tables in Figures 10-13 likewise indicate that all 4 mega 116,000 year global warming cycles during the past 333,000 years showed an increase in carbon dioxide concentrations of 44 to 51%. The current cycle shows an increase of 49%. With the current cycle now peaking, it is hypothesized the current concentrations are within accepted natural cyclical values. It is also concluded that these natural rises and values are caused by a very complex natural global warming feedback system that responds to natural warming cycles. It is also concluded that the rise in carbon dioxide is a natural event in all 5 mega cycles going back 460,000 years, and that present time concentrations are very similar to the very warm goalpost cycle occurring 425,000 to 460,000 years ago.

    This is a strong indication that the current approximate 116,000-year temperature and carbon dioxide peak over the Antarctic conforms to the Master PFM cycle goalpost hypothesis. This also means that the current PFM cycle, Antarctic warming and carbon dioxide peak is a warmest right hand goalpost cycle, with 3 cooler cycles during the prior 350,000-years, and a very warm left side goalpost cycle 425,000 to 460,000 years before the present. This explains why the ice pack was very small during that particular cycle, and why the current ice pack is thinning again at rates not seen since this warm-up 425,000 years ago.


 

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