What is the PFM?

The Primary Forcing Mechanism (PFM) is the Trigger Mechanism that Controls Recurring Cycles of the El Niño, Regional Hurricane Landfalls and other Weather/Climate Cycles.  The PFM is essentially a subset of the Lunisolar Precession, and well documented sub cycles of the Milankovitch Cycles.

El Niño events, global warming and other climate oscillations have been extensively studied for decades, but oceanographers and meteorologists have had great difficulty isolating the primary physical mechanism(s) that controls these oscillations.

By combining the four disciplines of Oceanography, Meteorology, Climatology and Astronomy, the objective of Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) 18-years of ongoing research was to isolate the Primary Forcing Trigger Mechanism(s) (PFM) that causes short-term climate cycles.

Once the PFM was isolated, it was then correlated with historical climate data to obtain accurate forecast models. One such research project correlates the PFM with sea surface temperatures in the tropical South Pacific Ocean where the El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) forms. By doing so, GWO found a 100 percent correlation between the 24 PFM cycles to the occurrences of all 24 El Niño's dating back to 1914.

GWO also documented a near 100 percent correlation between PFM cycles to regional droughts, regional floods, regional hurricane landfalls and regional seasonal precipitation.

GWO has found that the “Primary Forcing trigger Mechanism (Dilley-PFM)” is the primary mechanism that controls many weather/climate cycles, and that by using the PFM as a forecast model, these weather cycles can be forecast years in advance.

GWO released to the public ground breaking global warming research around the end of February 2008.

See Global Warming, Hurricanes and the Bermuda High Link for more information.





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