The Bermuda High

The Bermuda High Pressure System off the U.S. eastern seaboard meanders in position from one year to the next. Because hurricanes are unable to move through a high-pressure center, they must travel with the steering wind currents around the periphery of the Bermuda High, this is why High Pressure Systems are called “blocks”.

The meandering position of the High from one year to the next likewise affects the position of the periphery of the high, and the track of hurricanes from one year to the next. For example, on some years the periphery steers the hurricanes into the Gulf from the Atlantic, or in some years the Bermuda high further east and the periphery steers the hurricanes around the High and to the east of Florida. If the position of the Bermuda High could be determined for the upcoming hurricane season, the track of the hurricanes around its periphery could likewise be determined. But what mechanism could possibly be powerful enough to control the Bermuda High Pressure Center? It will be shown that the “Primary Forcing Trigger Mechanism (PFM)” is this powerful mechanism, and it is the cycles of the PFM that determines the El Niño cycles, hurricane tracks, and hurricane landfall cycles.

It will also be shown that the cycles of the PFM and the regional historical cycles of hurricanes determine the number of hurricane landfalls, intensities, and locations of landfalls over a given period of time. Based on climatology of historical landfalls, Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) has set up 10 forecast regions from Texas to New England. It will be shown that all regions have their own cycles for hurricane landfalls, some lasting only 3 or 4 years, some around 9 years. The forecast regions and cycles for Southern New England, the Gulf and Atlantic Coast of Florida will be shown in depth, and the forecast for landfalls in 2007 will be discussed in depth.

It will be shown that hurricanes come in recurring cycles, and by correlating these with the cycles of the PFM, it is possible to forecast hurricane landfall cycles a few years in advance. It will be demonstrated that the reason there were so many hurricane landfalls during the past 10-years, is because 6 of the 10 forecast regions were in active regional hurricane cycles. Of great importance is that the intensities and number of hurricane landfalls during the past 10-years were for the most part, not determined by global warming, but instead by natural recurring regional cycles that all came into cyclical co-existence at the same time. Even back in the 1920s to mid 1930s there were many category 3 or better hurricanes occurring, much like the present mid 1990s to 2005 active period. It will be shown that as it was 80 years ago, the co-existence of 6 regional hurricane cycles will be ending in the very near future.

During the course of the presentation, the correlation of the PFM cycles to regional hurricane landfall cycles will be shown on time-series charts for the period 1923 to present, and a 2007 forecast of hurricane landfalls and the El Niño will be shown and discussed. Like the human DNA Chromosome chain, the cycles of PFM sinusoidal curve is the DNA chain for climate and weather. Every climate cycle has its own position on this chain.